Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.034895 0.037955 0.041024 0.044327 0.047776 0.051264 0.055055
2026-01-25 0.028683 0.033115 0.037703 0.042783 0.048229 0.053873 0.060143
2026-02-01 0.024553 0.029971 0.035742 0.042293 0.049476 0.057065 0.065647
2026-02-08 0.021431 0.027581 0.034309 0.042120 0.050849 0.060224 0.070978
2026-02-15 0.019717 0.026568 0.034234 0.043297 0.053583 0.064771 0.077746
2026-02-22 0.018132 0.025538 0.034005 0.044185 0.055898 0.068782 0.083864
2026-03-01 0.016549 0.024366 0.033495 0.044649 0.057648 0.072093 0.089148
2026-03-08 0.015027 0.023143 0.032822 0.044833 0.059001 0.074898 0.093814
2026-03-15 0.014101 0.022581 0.032878 0.045821 0.061243 0.078678 0.099554
2026-03-22 0.012455 0.020982 0.031574 0.045104 0.061420 0.080038 0.102493
2026-03-29 0.011425 0.020111 0.031112 0.045353 0.062696 0.082631 0.106816
2026-04-05 0.010667 0.019549 0.030997 0.045991 0.064406 0.085707 0.111678
2026-04-12 0.009871 0.018904 0.030769 0.046500 0.065991 0.088681 0.116485
2026-04-19 0.008325 0.017086 0.028932 0.044927 0.065002 0.088590 0.117701
2026-04-26 0.007327 0.015984 0.027982 0.044431 0.065293 0.089987 0.120635
2026-05-03 0.006534 0.015122 0.027311 0.044257 0.065952 0.091803 0.124048
2026-05-10 0.006259 0.015050 0.027712 0.045469 0.068333 0.095686 0.129906
2026-05-17 0.005913 0.014834 0.027895 0.046383 0.070333 0.099105 0.135215
2026-05-24 0.005464 0.014412 0.027762 0.046860 0.071770 0.101836 0.139700
2026-05-31 0.004969 0.013869 0.027429 0.047049 0.072827 0.104094 0.143615
2026-06-07 0.004735 0.013761 0.027716 0.048065 0.074933 0.107632 0.149062
2026-06-14 0.004072 0.012820 0.026735 0.047328 0.074770 0.108373 0.151138
2026-06-21 0.003704 0.012389 0.026492 0.047584 0.075873 0.110661 0.155070